- The Royals (63-90) are -105 favorites vs the Tigers (60-92)
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (4-9), 4.21 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (2-2), 3.13 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 63-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-79 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 +100 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -120 | -115 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+17.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.63 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 away games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 149 games (+18.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 98 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 72% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 76-77 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -6.61% ROI).
- 63-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -8.55% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -6.53% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-79 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -9.24% ROI).
- 60-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 59-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -17.52% ROI
- 81-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.2 Units / 10.29% ROI
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has struck out just 10% (21/215) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has averaged 71.5 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (117/356) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .468 (37-for-79) against Zack Greinke when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .334 — second Percentile.
Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 4-38 (.095) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Royals are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 24-73 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Tigers are just 14-43 (.246) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .369 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .302 (8,488 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .603 (4,074 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,074 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,680 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (8,305 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 243 of 2,765 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH this season (3,898 balls in play) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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