Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Royals (63-90) are -105 favorites vs the Tigers (60-92)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (4-9), 4.21 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (2-2), 3.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 63-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 73-79 ATS.

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +155O 7.5 +100-105
Tigers +1.5 -190U 7.5 -120-115

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Harold Castro 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Javier Baez 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Riley Greene 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Harold Castro 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Javier Baez 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Riley Greene 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Harold Castro 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Javier Baez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Riley Greene 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Wentz 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Zack Greinke 3.5 +125 3.5 -175
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+17.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.63 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 away games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 149 games (+18.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 98 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 72% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 76-77 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -6.61% ROI).

  • 63-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -8.55% ROI
  • 75-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.35% ROI
  • 72-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -6.53% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 73-79 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -9.24% ROI).

  • 60-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -6.69% ROI
  • 59-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -17.52% ROI
  • 81-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.2 Units / 10.29% ROI

Zack Greinke has struck out just 10% (21/215) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Zack Greinke has averaged 71.5 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (117/356) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .468 (37-for-79) against Zack Greinke when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .334 — second Percentile.

Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-38 (.095) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Royals are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Royals are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 24-73 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Tigers are 12-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 14-43 (.246) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .369 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .302 (8,488 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .603 (4,074 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,074 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,680 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (8,305 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Royals have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 243 of 2,765 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH this season (3,898 balls in play) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.