Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2022, 8:41 AM
  • The Tigers (51-82) are -120 favorites vs the Royals (54-80)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Maximo Castillo (0-1), 2.80 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (1-2), 3.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 54-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-72 ATS.

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -200O 8 -115+100
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -105-120

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 away games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 away games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 80 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 29 away games (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 away games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 62-68 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -10.6% ROI).

  • 54-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -7.48% ROI
  • 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.7% ROI
  • 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -8.41% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 58-72 against the Run Line (-24.35 Units / -14.89% ROI).

  • 49-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -12.46% ROI
  • 48-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -21.1% ROI
  • 72-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.75 Units / 13.64% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Manning has limited playing time.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Royals are just 8-57 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Royals are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 6-58 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Tigers are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Tigers are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

Royals hitters have just 589 strikeouts in 3,004 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .988 (2,104 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters are slugging just .373 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Royals hitters have just 261 strikeouts in 1,311 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .320 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .595 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,772 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 107 of 1,177 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,094 of 11,318 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 13 of 98 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 109 of 1,164 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, Day-to-Day
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D10
  • Eric Haase (Tigers): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.