- The Tigers (51-82) are -120 favorites vs the Royals (54-80)
- Royals starting pitcher: Maximo Castillo (0-1), 2.80 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (1-2), 3.79 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 54-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-72 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 away games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 away games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 80 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 29 away games (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 away games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 62-68 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -10.6% ROI).
- 54-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.7% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -8.41% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 58-72 against the Run Line (-24.35 Units / -14.89% ROI).
- 49-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -12.46% ROI
- 48-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -21.1% ROI
- 72-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.75 Units / 13.64% ROI
Maximo Castillo: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has limited playing time.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Royals are just 8-57 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Royals are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 22-43 (.338) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 6-58 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Tigers are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 589 strikeouts in 3,004 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .988 (2,104 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters are slugging just .373 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Royals hitters have just 261 strikeouts in 1,311 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .320 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .595 (3,541 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,772 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 107 of 1,177 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,094 of 11,318 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 13 of 98 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 109 of 1,164 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, Day-to-Day
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D10
- Eric Haase (Tigers): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, D15
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