Royals vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (58-55) are -190 favorites vs the Royals (48-68)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-6), 5.02 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (8-5), 3.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Royals vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 48-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 52-61 ATS.

Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -130O 8 -105+155
Twins -1.5 +105U 8 -115-190

Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 72.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 away games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+19.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 41 games at home (+16.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)

Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Carlos Correa 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Gio Urshela 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Gio Urshela 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Carlos Correa 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Gio Urshela 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Ryan 5.5 -110 5.5 -125
Kris Bubic 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+22.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 55-61 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -10.79% ROI).

  • 48-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -7.5% ROI
  • 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.82% ROI
  • 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -6.13% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 52-61 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -8.59% ROI).

  • 58-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.16% ROI
  • 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -7.41% ROI

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (204 Total Bases / 306 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .441 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .781 (25 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .428 — second Percentile.

Kris Bubic has walked 10 of 61 batters (16%) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.062 (439 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .758 — 0 Percentile.

Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (38/129) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (31/107) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (77/201) against Joe Ryan on changeups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.

Joe Ryan has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (103/201) of the time this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Royals are just 3-30 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Royals are just 1-53 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 6-50 (.107) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Royals are just 48-58 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-22 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Twins are just 49-7 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals hitters have just 545 strikeouts in 2,845 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .981 (2,003 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Royals hitters have just 646 strikeouts in 3,306 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters are slugging .514 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Twins hitters are slugging .606 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters have a swing rate of 66% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Royals pitchers have walked 213 of 2,445 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Royals pitchers have walked 440 of 4,494 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,728 times since the start of last season — 5th most in MLB.

Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.