- The Twins (69-70) are -190 favorites vs the Royals (57-84)
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-11), 5.40 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (10-8), 4.04 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 57-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-74 ATS.
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Twins | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 away games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 games at home (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 34 games at home (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gilberto Celestino | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Gilberto Celestino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Gio Urshela | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gilberto Celestino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gio Urshela | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
| Kris Bubic | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 30 away games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 33 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 137 games (+9.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+0.85 Units / 3% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 66-71 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -9.32% ROI).
- 57-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -7.98% ROI
- 69-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.42% ROI
- 65-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -7.54% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 62-74 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -9.21% ROI).
- 69-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -4.1% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -7.84% ROI
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (35 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.061 (399 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .763 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .419 (399 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .472 (34-for-72) against Kris Bubic when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .334 — first Percentile.
Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (95/340) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (108 Total Bases / 202 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (37/136) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (46/162) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 13-171 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Royals are just 29-80 (.266) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Royals are just 69-108 (.390) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Royals are just 30-152 (.165) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are just 15-27 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 36-101 (.263) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Twins are just 16-135 (.106) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Twins are just 28-130 (.177) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals hitters have just 603 strikeouts in 3,083 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .392 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .983 (2,158 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .171 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Twins hitters have not drawn a walk in 41 PA’s against LHP this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .390 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 518 of 5,458 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,109 of 11,585 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Twins pitchers have walked 30 of 252 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
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