- The White Sox (51-50) are -165 favorites vs the Royals (40-62)
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-11), 4.18 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (4-6), 3.15 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 40-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 45-56 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +115 | U 9 -105 | -165 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 55 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 60 games (+23.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 58 games (+20.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 51 games at home (+18.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
| Brad Keller | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+17.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 54 of their last 101 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 56 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 46-56 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -14.28% ROI).
- 40-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.61% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-56 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -10.12% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 47-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -4.08% ROI
- 48-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.03% ROI
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (22/136) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 8 of 47 batters (17%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 35% (73 SO in 207 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (66/111) against Brad Keller in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 15 of 72 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 24 of 159 left-handed batters (15%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .175 (32-for-183) against Michael Kopech this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (76/397) against Michael Kopech since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 2-27 (.069) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 5-46 (.098) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Royals are just 6-28 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Royals are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 28-22 (.560) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The White Sox are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The White Sox are just 5-39 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 519 strikeouts in 2,734 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .356 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Royals hitters have just 191 strikeouts in 1,041 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 620 strikeouts in 3,195 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting just .162 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
The White Sox are batting .268 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have drawn 38 walks in 901 PA’s (4%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The White Sox are batting .394 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 391 of 3,912 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have walked 982 of 10,039 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 57 of 899 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 355 of 3,842 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 393.9 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Reynaldo López (White Sox): Back, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
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