- The White Sox (51-51) are -175 favorites vs the Royals (41-62)
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-11), 4.18 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (6-6), 5.13 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-175) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 41-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 45-57 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +145 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -175 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 away games (+13.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 56 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 61 games (+21.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 41 of his last 52 games at home (+19.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 59 games (+19.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +120 |
| Brad Keller | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+18.15 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 47-56 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -13.39% ROI).
- 41-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -5.43% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -3.65% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-57 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -10.85% ROI).
- 51-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.65 Units / -8.61% ROI
- 47-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 49-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.08% ROI
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (22/136) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 8 of 47 batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (66/111) against Brad Keller in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Brad Keller has struck out just 15% (37/241) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of .978 (249 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .712 — first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has struck out 34% (57/169) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (116 Total Bases / 217 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .366 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (130 Total Bases / 221 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .405 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 2-27 (.069) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Royals are just 5-46 (.098) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Royals are just 22-30 (.423) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Royals are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are 46-12 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 525 strikeouts in 2,757 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are just 2-27 (.069) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Royals hitters are slugging just .361 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .984 (1,933 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .438 (254 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The White Sox are batting .280 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The White Sox have won just 47% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
The White Sox are batting .370 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 44 of 411 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have walked 82 of 908 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have walked 989 of 10,116 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (432.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Reynaldo López (White Sox): Back, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, D10
- Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
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