- The White Sox (63-66) are -200 favorites vs the Royals (53-77)
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-9), 5.61 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (3-5), 5.00 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-200) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 53-74 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 55-72 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -110 | +165 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -110 | -200 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
| Kris Bubic | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 61-66 against the Run Line (-16.55 Units / -9.97% ROI).
- 53-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -8.46% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 55-72 against the Run Line (-18.6 Units / -12.3% ROI).
- 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -11.46% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.82% ROI
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .838 (31 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .423 (381 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .325 — second Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (214 Total Bases / 328 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .438 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (28/198) against Kris Bubic with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .767 (33 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .426 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .385 (25-for-65) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 4 of 185 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 123 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 20-62 (.244) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Royals are just 29-80 (.266) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The White Sox are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The White Sox are just 8-27 (.229) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The White Sox are 33-31 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 582 strikeouts in 2,982 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .983 (2,081 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters have just 683 strikeouts in 3,443 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 230 walks in 3,888 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The White Sox have won just 48% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.82 runs per game (237/130) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Royals pitchers have walked 488 of 5,043 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.4 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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