- The Royals are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / White Sox TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Kansas City Royals (-150) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Friday, June 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Royals are 33-30 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 36-27 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-5, 3.45 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 2-6, 3.69 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | +125 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 63 games (+24.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 19 away games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 19 away games (+12.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.59 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 34-29 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- 33-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 24-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.22 Units / -25.08% ROI
- 38-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.55 Units / 16.52% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 36-27 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 8.75% ROI).
- 20-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.31 Units / -17.92% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -7.57% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.59% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jac Caglianone (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jac Caglianone (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (175/851) against Seth Lugo since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 21% (141/680) against Seth Lugo in the 2024 season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 14th Percentile.
Seth Lugo walked 13 of 288 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 4% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 87th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 15% (16 SO in 108 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Davis Martin has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (157/284) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
34% of Davis Martin’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — seventh Percentile.
Davis Martin has allowed a slugging percentage of .382 (26 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 13th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 25-69 (.266) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are 17-5 (.773) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (30th best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 19-90 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 24-87 (.216) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 40-123 (.245) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .253 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,189 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 27% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .624 (8,171 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
The Royals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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