Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

Chicago White Sox first base Miguel Vargas (20) during their spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Saturday, March 8, 2025, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
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  • The Royals are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Royals / White Sox TV Channel: RYTV | CHSN

The Kansas City Royals (-120) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+100) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Royals are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 21-18 ATS.

Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Stephen Kolek 1-0, 4.50 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 0-4, 3.83 ERA

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +135O 9.5 -120-120
White Sox +1.5 -160U 9.5 +100+100

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 19-21 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -9.2% ROI).

  • 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -13.23% ROI
  • 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -20.46% ROI
  • 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 12.33% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 21-18 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -6.93% ROI).

  • 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 5.56% ROI
  • 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -9.39% ROI

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +210
Vinnie Pasquantino +333
Colson Montgomery +333
Salvador Perez +333
Bobby Witt Jr. +360

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sam Antonacci 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Salvador Perez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Colson Montgomery 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colson Montgomery 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jared Kelenic 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Isaac Collins 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Salvador Perez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Royals are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals are 73-7 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The White Sox are just 60-18 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 12-107 (.101) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

32% of Royals hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging .755 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .611 (659 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .216 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .150 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .433 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .648 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.38 (34.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.