Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

Chicago White Sox's Brooks Baldwin hits a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Saturday, Sept. 27, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
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  • The Royals are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
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The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Royals are against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are ATS.

Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 3-1, 3.52 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 2-1, 4.84 ERA

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +125O 8.5 -118-130
White Sox +1.5 -150U 8.5 -102+110

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+16.60 Units / 184% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +325
Salvador Perez +380
Colson Montgomery +425
Bobby Witt Jr. +450
Vinnie Pasquantino +500

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Salvador Perez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Lane Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Starling Marte 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Romo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lane Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Isaac Collins 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 8-15 (.348) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Royals are just 6-14 (.300) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .459.

The Royals are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 61-18 (.772) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The White Sox are just 94-41 (.696) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The White Sox are just 23-106 (.178) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The White Sox are just 118-208 (.362) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Royals hitters are slugging just .215 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .447 (837 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging .728 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .232 (837 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .190 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of .770 (452 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have 71 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.