Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 19, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The White Sox are -130 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 14-31 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 21-24 ATS.

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -185O 9 -110+110
White Sox -1.5 +150U 9 -110-130

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 48.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 56% ROI)

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Nate Eaton 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Tim Anderson 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +110 0.5 -150
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nate Eaton 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Tim Anderson 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -110 0.5 -120

White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nate Eaton 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Tim Anderson 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Greinke 3.5 +120 3.5 -160
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 18-27 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -23.45% ROI).

  • 14-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -26.08% ROI
  • 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -6.93% ROI
  • 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -2.44% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 21-24 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -9.65% ROI).

  • 16-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -27.93% ROI
  • 22-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 2.83% ROI
  • 19-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -10.17% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (64/339) against Zack Greinke this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (5-for-24) against Zack Greinke on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 95th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has a strike rate of 76% (150/198) on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has walked 7 of 194 batters (4%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Kopech has walked 28 of 192 batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Michael Kopech has walked 28 of 192 batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.

Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 56% (113/203) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.

Michael Kopech has allowed an OPS of 1.347 (47 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .740 — third Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 5-56 (.082) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.

The Royals are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .680.

The Royals are just 14-31 (.311) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-15 (.062) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The White Sox are just 12-5 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The White Sox are just 15-23 (.395) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .297 (1,669 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The Royals are just 5-56 (.082) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.

White Sox hitters have 126 extra-base hits out of 392 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 976 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 362 walks in 6,143 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,681 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Royals pitchers have walked 36 of 225 batters (16%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have walked 762 of 7,975 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Royals pitchers have walked 41 of 394 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The White Sox have allowed 1.84 runs per game (83/45) in late innings this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.36.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
  • Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.