- The White Sox are -200 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-200) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 14-32 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 22-24 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | +1.5 -120 | O 9 -120 | +165 |
White Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 9 +100 | -200 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 78.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+9.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tim Anderson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Luis Robert | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tim Anderson | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Luis Robert | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tim Anderson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Luis Robert | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Lucas Giolito | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 18-28 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -25.68% ROI).
- 14-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -27.64% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -8.95% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 22-24 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -6.94% ROI).
- 17-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -25.29% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -7.98% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.321 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .692 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has struck out just 12% (14/112) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1961.7 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 2406.3 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Lucas Giolito on low fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (116/375) against Lucas Giolito since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (85/180) when behind in the count this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 5-56 (.082) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
The Royals are just 1-15 (.062) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Royals are just 10-13 (.435) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 10-78 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,283 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,696 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 980 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox are batting .267 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The White Sox have won just 20% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 364 walks in 6,174 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .328 against Royals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Royals pitchers have walked 31 of 217 batters (14%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Gavin Sheets (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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