Royals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox are -175 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel Mengden (0-0), 2.07 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (6-6), 2.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on YouTube

The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-175) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 53-75 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 56-72 ATS.

Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -135O 9 -115+145
White Sox -1.5 +110U 9 -105-175

Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.60 Units / 60% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 59 of his last 86 games (+28.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 88 games (+20.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 50 of his last 65 games at home (+19.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+16.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 49 of his last 88 games (+15.65 Units / 17% ROI)

White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Jose Abreu 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Eloy Jimenez 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jose Abreu 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Leury Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jose Abreu 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnny Cueto 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
Daniel Mengden 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 38 games (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 70 of their last 130 games (+13.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 61-67 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -10.59% ROI).

  • 53-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -6.88% ROI
  • 64-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -1.39% ROI
  • 60-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.69% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-72 against the Run Line (-17.6 Units / -11.56% ROI).

  • 63-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -10.74% ROI
  • 57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -6.99% ROI
  • 62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.11% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (147/889) against Johnny Cueto this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (88/577) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season is 411.7 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 399.2

Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (406/801) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Royals are just 2-62 (.031) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Royals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 32-37 (.464) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The White Sox are just 6-32 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The White Sox are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals hitters have just 582 strikeouts in 2,982 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .984 (2,084 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters are slugging just .369 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Royals hitters have just 254 strikeouts in 1,289 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox hitters have just 6 strikeouts in 95 PA’s (6%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox hitters have 77 extra-base hits out of 262 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 231 walks in 3,897 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox are batting just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

The Royals have allowed 1.82 runs per game (239/131) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,085 of 11,206 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (551.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.