- The White Sox are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dany Toussaint
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-135) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 44-100 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 71-72 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+14.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+12.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Dylan Cease | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.84 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.09 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.37 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.53 Units / 21% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+15.29 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.48 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 60-84 against the Run Line (-36.25 Units / -21.04% ROI).
- 44-100 when betting on the Moneyline for -39.25 Units / -26.12% ROI
- 70-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 68-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -5.78% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 71-72 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 55-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.5 Units / -19.6% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -8.72% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.57% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .355 (27-for-76) against Brady Singer on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (45 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 30 of Brady Singer’s 242 fastballs in off the plate (12%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.214 (130 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .705 — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 46 of 335 right-handed batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 41% of the time (2,441/5,962) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 38% of the time (489/1,287) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (85/216) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 30-29 (.508) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Royals are just 4-17 (.190) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 18-53 (.254) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 18-36 (.333) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 7-19 (.269) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The White Sox are just 23-17 (.575) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (2,620 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Royals are just 16-33 (.320) against the run line (-38.3% ROI) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (5,683 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Royals are just 30-29 (.508) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 180 extra-base hits out of 566 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (2,791 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,696 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .468 (2,791 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.21 (1251.0 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.40 (597.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 580 of 5,562 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,113 of 11,707 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Declan Cronin (White Sox): Hand, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Fermin (Royals): Finger, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Austin Cox (Royals): Knee, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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