- The White Sox are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Steven Cruz
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-150) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 45-101 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 72-73 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -115 | -150 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+14.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -375 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 61-85 against the Run Line (-36.95 Units / -21.04% ROI).
- 45-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -39.1 Units / -25.68% ROI
- 71-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 69-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -5.73% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 72-73 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -7.59% ROI).
- 56-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.85 Units / -19.49% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -8.75% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.53% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Cruz has allowed a slugging percentage of just .071 (1 Total Bases / 14 ABs) — tied for 14th best among among 254 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 94th Percentile.
Steven Cruz has allowed an OPS of just .205 (15 PA’s) over the last 14 days (4 games) — tied for 4th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .713 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (5/31) against Steven Cruz over the last 14 days (4 games) — tied for 5th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — sixth Percentile.
Steven Cruz has allowed an OPS of just .205 (15 PA’s) — tied for 12th best among among 254 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — 95th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .238 (24-for-101) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (17/76) against Mike Clevinger with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (23/80) against Mike Clevinger over the last 30 days (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (16-for-97) against Mike Clevinger with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Royals are just 14-26 (.350) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 44-9 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The White Sox are just 31-35 (.470) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The White Sox are just 19-119 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 0-1 (.000) against the run line (-100.0% ROI) after a win as favorites this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Royals are just 16-33 (.320) against the run line (-38.3% ROI) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Royals are just 4-17 (-52.4% ROI) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .631 (1,715 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
White Sox hitters have drawn 535 walks in 8,866 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 181 extra-base hits out of 569 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (1268.0 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 588 of 5,647 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 124 of 1,290 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Declan Cronin (White Sox): Hand, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Fermin (Royals): Finger, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Austin Cox (Royals): Knee, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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