Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

New York Yankees' Jazz Chisholm Jr. reacts after connecting for a solo home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the fifth inning of Game 3 of baseball's American League Division Series, Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Yankees TV Channel: RYTV | YES

The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Royals are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 9-11 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 1-0, 3.94 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 1-0, 2.46 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -155O 8 -110+145
Yankees -1.5 +125U 8 -110-175

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+14.30 Units / 179% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -33.33% ROI
  • 6-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -42.57% ROI
  • 14-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 34.63% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 9-11 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.58% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -17.08% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -13.53% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 4.73% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +190
Giancarlo Stanton +325
Salvador Perez +390
Vinnie Pasquantino +425
Paul Goldschmidt +425

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Aaron Judge 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Amed Rosario 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Aaron Judge 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jonathan India 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jose Caballero 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 7-13 (.350) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Royals are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Yankees are 105-77 (.577) since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 50-22 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Royals (26th in runs scored).

Royals hitters are slugging just .161 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters had an OPS of just .892 (1,140 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .363 (382 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .458 on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters drew walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .096 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters had an OPS of .794 (3,255 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Royals have allowed 2.15 runs per game (43/20) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.