- The – are favorites vs the –
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Royals vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 28-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 50-48 ATS.
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 83.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gleyber Torres | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Billy McKinney | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +115 |
| Gerrit Cole | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -150 |
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 95 games (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 68 games (+4.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games at home (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 39-60 against the Run Line (-31.35 Units / -25.83% ROI).
- 28-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.55 Units / -30.74% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.02% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.78% ROI).
- 51-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -12.02% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 3.18% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (543/1,031) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (83/145) against Brady Singer this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Brady Singer has an ERA of 7.42 (30.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.03 — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has an ERA of 5.70 (102.2 IP)this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.95 — fifth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
57% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (6-for-38) against Gerrit Cole on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .184 (7 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.
53% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 7-13 (.350) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
The Royals are just 7-23 (.233) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Royals are just 21-24 (.467) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Royals are just 28-70 (.286) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 27-54 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Yankees are 36-33 (.522) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Royals are batting just .200 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Royals have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have pulled 53% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,295 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,843 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have walked 944 of 10,012 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 38% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.81 (1107.0 IP) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Rib, Day-to-Day
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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