Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (67-33) are -375 favorites vs the Royals (39-60)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-6), 5.53 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (9-3), 3.09 ERA
  • Watch the game on Prime Video

The Kansas City Royals (+290) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-375) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Royals vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 39-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-52 ATS.

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+2.5 -105O 8.5 -115+290
Yankees -2.5 -115U 8.5 -105-375

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 away games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 51 games at home (+15.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Aaron Judge 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Aaron Judge 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 +170 1.5 -250

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Aaron Judge 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole 8.5 +100 8.5 -145
Kris Bubic 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+14.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+4.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 44 games at home (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-54 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -13.99% ROI).

  • 39-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -13.98% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -7.25% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.51% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 48-52 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -5.09% ROI).

  • 67-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 6.85% ROI
  • 48-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -5.48% ROI
  • 49-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -3.22% ROI

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.095 (326 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .769 — first Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.068 (411 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .759 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .671 (188 Total Bases / 280 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (72/449) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has struck out 37% (79/215) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has struck out 38% (203/532) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .223 (215 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Royals are just 1-47 (.021) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 17-30 (.362) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 7-20 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 38-12 (.760) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Yankees are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Yankees are 53-17 (.757) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Royals hitters have just 508 strikeouts in 2,702 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have just 180 strikeouts in 1,009 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have won just 53% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

Royals hitters have just 609 strikeouts in 3,163 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.274 (719 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.063.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.009 (167 PA’s) against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .761 (3,078 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .761 (2,812 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Royals pitchers have walked 970 of 9,958 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have walked 379 of 3,831 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have allowed 1.69 runs per game (167/99) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Yankees have won 62% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.