- The – (67-33) are favorites vs the – (67-33)
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (3-6), 4.35 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (3-3), 3.49 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Royals vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 39-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 50-52 ATS.
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 54 games (+13.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 33 away games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 53 games at home (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 away games (+15.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 46 games at home (+18.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-56 against the Run Line (-20.25 Units / -15.29% ROI).
- 39-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.95 Units / -15.56% ROI
- 48-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 49-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -3.58% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 50-52 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -3.29% ROI).
- 69-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 7.65% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -3.6% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -5.25% ROI
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (29/80) against Zack Greinke on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Greinke has an ERA of 7.38 (39.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — second Percentile.
Zack Greinke has located his pitches away 66% of the time (269/410) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has a strikeout rate of just 28% (47 SO in 170 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (66/175) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 7 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% (240/827) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 85th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (31/40) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 2-27 (.069) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Royals are just 4-46 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Royals are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Royals are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 8-20 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Yankees are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Yankees are 41-8 (.837) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Yankees are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are averaging just 3.79 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Royals hitters have just 519 strikeouts in 2,734 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are just 2-27 (.069) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Royals hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 106 total hits (just 24%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,236 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .406 (193 PA’s) against LHP this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,104 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 391 of 3,912 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 982 of 10,039 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have walked 79 of 890 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Yankees pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
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