Tigers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 17

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 17, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Angels
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Miguel Díaz
  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-105) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Tigers vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 69-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 69-80 ATS.

Tigers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +145O 9 -110-115
Angels +1.5 -175U 9 -110-105

Tigers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Angels and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.05 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Angels vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Brett Phillips 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Angels vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brett Phillips 0.5 +125 0.5 -165

Angels vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Logan O'Hoppe 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Brett Phillips 0.5 +340 0.5 -550
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 77-71 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.56% ROI).

  • 69-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 4.47% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -3.7% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-80 against the Run Line (-20.8 Units / -10.95% ROI).

  • 68-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.25 Units / -11.38% ROI
  • 75-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.24% ROI
  • 66-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -9.69% ROI

Miguel Diaz has not allowed a hit to any of the last 29 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Shelby Miller has the longest active streak at 39.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (13/29) against Miguel Diaz — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Miguel Diaz has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 21st, 2017 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (91/285) against Reid Detmers this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (112/376) against Reid Detmers this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (162/562) against Reid Detmers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (207/739) against Reid Detmers since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Tigers are 29-8 (.784) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.

The Tigers are 19-8 (.704) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .583.

The Tigers are just 30-40 (.429) after a home win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Tigers are just 29-70 (.293) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 8-132 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Angels are just 53-9 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Angels are just 27-21 (.562) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (8,667 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,667 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .269 (915 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Angels hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Angels are batting just .220 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,370 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (410.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 3,218 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed 340 barreled balls since last season — 5th most in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 256 of 2,760 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 134 of 1,320 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,113 of 11,840 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
  • Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, D60
  • Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
  • McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, D10
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, D15
  • Reid Detmers (Angels): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
  • Kyren Paris (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
  • Michael Moustakas (Angels): Forearm, D10
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
  • Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
  • Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
  • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60

Bet now on Tigers vs Angels and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.