- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Angels
- Tigers starting pitcher: Miguel Díaz
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-105) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Tigers vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 69-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 69-80 ATS.
Tigers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Tigers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.05 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Angels vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Angels vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brett Phillips | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Angels Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 77-71 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.56% ROI).
- 69-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 4.47% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -3.7% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-80 against the Run Line (-20.8 Units / -10.95% ROI).
- 68-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.25 Units / -11.38% ROI
- 75-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 66-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -9.69% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miguel Diaz has not allowed a hit to any of the last 29 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Shelby Miller has the longest active streak at 39.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (13/29) against Miguel Diaz — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Miguel Diaz has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 21st, 2017 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (91/285) against Reid Detmers this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (112/376) against Reid Detmers this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (162/562) against Reid Detmers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (207/739) against Reid Detmers since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Tigers are 29-8 (.784) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Tigers are 19-8 (.704) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Tigers are just 30-40 (.429) after a home win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 29-70 (.293) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-132 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels are just 53-9 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Angels are just 27-21 (.562) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (8,667 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,667 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .269 (915 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Angels are batting just .220 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,370 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.05 (410.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 3,218 times since last season — 5th most in MLB.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed 340 barreled balls since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 256 of 2,760 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 134 of 1,320 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,113 of 11,840 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, D60
- Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Reid Detmers (Angels): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Kyren Paris (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Michael Moustakas (Angels): Forearm, D10
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Elbow, D10
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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