- The Angels (58-76) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (51-83)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-8), 4.76 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (5-6), 4.10 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-190) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 49-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-69 ATS.
Tigers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Angels | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Tigers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+9.70 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 62 games (+34.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 57 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 67 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
Angels vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| David Fletcher | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Angels vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
| Tyler Alexander | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.70 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games at home (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 58-73 against the Run Line (-25.35 Units / -15.41% ROI).
- 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.45 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 48-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.45 Units / -21.67% ROI
- 73-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.75 Units / 14.22% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-69 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -7.75% ROI).
- 58-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.9 Units / -14.88% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.66% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.63% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has struck out just 11% (23/209) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (65/402) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .341 (31 GB hits out of 91 GBs) against Tyler Alexander this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (92/548) against Tyler Alexander this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (52/178) against Jose Suarez this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Jose Suarez has an ERA of 2.38 (41.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 3.89 — 92nd Percentile.
67% of Jose Suarez’s called strikeouts are outside since the start of last season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 95th Percentile.
Jose Suarez has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (815/2,976) since the start of last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 88th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Tigers are just 50-74 (.403) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Tigers are just 6-58 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Tigers are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Angels are just 6-36 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Angels are just 7-33 (.175) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .320 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .595 (3,573 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,573 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,804 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .146 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Angels hitters have 934 strikeouts in 3,489 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .295 (3,489 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Angels are batting just .218 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 13 of 98 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 109 of 1,173 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Tigers pitchers this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,042 of 11,213 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Angels have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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