- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Astros
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: FDDT | SCH2
The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Monday, April 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 18-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 15-12 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-2, 2.60 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 2-2, 5.09 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -118 | +100 |
| Astros | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -102 | -120 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+11.30 Units / 226% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+7.95 Units / 159% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+5.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.40 Units / 204% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 60% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.33 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 18-10 against the Run Line (+8.1 Units / 22.53% ROI).
- 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 19.1% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -23.74% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 17.04% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 15-12 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 12.82% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -5.37% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -28.69% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 19.83% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (201/320) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (162/244) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .153 (39-for-255) against Ronel Blanco versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (44-for-261) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .147 (33-for-225) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Tigers were 28-1 (.966) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 47-45 (.511) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
The Astros are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .298 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .691 (3,116 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are slugging .495 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances lasted only one pitch (926/6,107 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (886.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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