Tigers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena reacts after flying out during the seventh inning of Game 1 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Texas Rangers Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
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  • The Astros are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Astros TV Channel: DSN | SCHN

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on June 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Tigers are 30-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 34-40 ATS.

Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 3-5, 4.39 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-0, 0.84 ERA

Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -165O 7.5 +100+135
Astros -1.5 +135U 7.5 -120-160

Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in his last 20 away games (+20.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+17.00 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+19.70 Units / 328% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 away games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 31-37 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -9.86% ROI).

  • 30-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -20.43% ROI
  • 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -6.73% ROI
  • 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.08% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 34-40 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -13.11% ROI).

  • 33-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -10.79% ROI
  • 40-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 7.3% ROI
  • 30-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -17.13% ROI

Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +340
Christian Walker +390
Kerry Carpenter +400
Dillon Dingler +425
Isaac Paredes +450

Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jose Altuve 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cam Smith 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Colt Keith 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Zach McKinstry 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Tigers are just 23-11 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Tigers are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are just 12-26 (.316) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Astros are just 1-36 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Astros are 26-2 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Astros are just 6-25 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Astros are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have struck out in 23% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Astros are batting just .231 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

30% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .284 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 70 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 86 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 86 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for fewest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.