Tigers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Astros
  • Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Astros TV Channel: DSN | SCHN

The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on June 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Tigers are 30-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 35-40 ATS.

Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-3, 2.27 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 5-4, 3.50 ERA

Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +150O 8.5 -118-110
Astros +1.5 -185U 8.5 -102-110

Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in his last 20 away games (+20.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+18.70 Units / 267% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -11.27% ROI).

  • 30-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -21.34% ROI
  • 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -8% ROI
  • 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.19% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 35-40 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -11.71% ROI).

  • 34-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 5.9% ROI
  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -15.66% ROI

Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +250
Kerry Carpenter +333
Christian Walker +333
Dillon Dingler +360
Spencer Torkelson +390

Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Riley Greene 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cam Smith 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hao-Yu Lee 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Wenceel Perez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Tigers are just 23-11 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Tigers are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are just 26-5 (.839) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Astros are 26-2 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Astros are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Astros are just 1-36 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Astros are just 6-25 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 23-11 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .425 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .745 (1,474 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .282 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 87 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 70 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 87 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for fewest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.