- The Tigers (37-55) are -145 favorites vs the Athletics (32-61)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-1), 5.72 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (3-9), 3.25 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Thursday, July 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 37-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 45-48 ATS.
Tigers vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | O 7 -115 | -145 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -150 | U 7 -105 | +120 |
Tigers vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+13.05 Units / 41% ROI)
Athletics vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Athletics vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Logue | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
| Tarik Skubal | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 89 games (+19.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 60 games (+4.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 69 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 43-49 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -11.43% ROI).
- 37-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 33-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -25.46% ROI
- 54-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.1 Units / 17.75% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 45-48 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -11.36% ROI).
- 32-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -16.56% ROI
- 37-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 51-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.25 Units / 10.04% ROI
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .343 (23-for-67) against Tarik Skubal on inside fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (9-for-71) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (233/328) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .247 (48-for-194) against Tarik Skubal’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 18th Percentile.
Francelis Montas: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (39/125) against Frankie Montas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (100 SO in 209 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 87th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (23 Total Bases / 114 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 84th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (29-for-168) against Frankie Montas’ non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 89th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Tigers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 15-31 (.326) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Tigers are just 4-39 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Athletics are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Athletics are just 11-32 (.256) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Athletics are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Athletics are just 31-52 (.373) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (2,464 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .316 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .619 (3,291 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .579 (1,646 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .555 (1,486 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .603 (3,331 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .588 (2,389 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,331 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Athletics pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Francelis Montas (Athletics): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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