- The Blue Jays are -275 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Watch the game on SNET
The Detroit Tigers (+225) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 2-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 5-5 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +2.5 -125 | O 9 -115 | +225 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | U 9 -105 | -275 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+3.40 Units / 113% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-7 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -28.89% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 28.14% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -35.86% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -11.72% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 11.4% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.75% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -25.45% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 127 opportunities (3%) since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Matt Manning has struck out just 15% (46/314) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 54 opportunities (2%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (121/574) against Matt Manning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 41% (245/600) against Alek Manoah on changeups since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 18% (4/22) against Alek Manoah on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 7-73 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Tigers were 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
keys to the game – home
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (4,564 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .261 (334 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .329 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays are batting .259 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 462 of 6,479 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .400 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 935 of 12,395 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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