- The Blue Jays are -275 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+220) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 2-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 6-5 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +2.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +220 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -275 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 87% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-8 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -65% ROI).
- 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -36% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 34.55% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -42.53% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -3.99% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 15.6% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 21.85% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -32.39% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (19/138) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 6% (2/33) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 33% (257/770) against Eduardo Rodriguez with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (264/630) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,602/2,878) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers are just 7-73 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 18-16 (.529) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 42-36 (.538) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (4,601 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .557 (371 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,601 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .765 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of 1.098 (36 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 7.14 (87.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.50.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 468 of 6,516 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 99 of 1,551 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Tigers vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
