- The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+190) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Thursday, April 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 2-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 6-6 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 +105 | O 9 +100 | +190 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -120 | -250 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 4.5 -185 | 4.5 +140 |
| Spencer Turnbull | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 3-8 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -50.77% ROI).
- 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -41.82% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 22.82% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -30.33% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -12.16% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 18.54% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 11.97% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -22.22% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OPS of 1.758 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .817 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .500 (26 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 40 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Spencer Turnbull this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .249 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.312 (21 Total Bases / 16 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .434 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (98/550) against Chris Bassitt since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 42-36 (.538) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 18-16 (.529) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (4,601 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,601 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,832 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .292 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .765 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .184 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 468 of 6,516 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 941 of 12,432 batters (8%) since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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