Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (54-44) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (40-59)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (2-3), 4.05 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi (3-5), 5.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Thursday, July 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 40-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 43-55 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -110O 9.5 -115+180
Blue Jays -1.5 -110U 9.5 -105-225

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 54 games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Bo Bichette 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Danny Jansen 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
George Springer 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Bo Bichette 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Danny Jansen 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
George Springer 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Lourdes Gurriel 1.5 +180 1.5 -275

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Bo Bichette 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Danny Jansen 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
George Springer 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 96 games (+14.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 away games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 56 games (+24.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-53 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -12.14% ROI).

  • 40-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.57% ROI
  • 38-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.7 Units / -19.94% ROI
  • 55-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.8 Units / 12.6% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 43-55 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -13.91% ROI).

  • 54-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -9.12% ROI
  • 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 2.1% ROI
  • 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -12.16% ROI

Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 13% (18 SO in 140 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .379 (11-for-29) against Tyler Alexander’s changeup this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .207 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .378 (37-for-98) against Tyler Alexander’s inside fastball since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 12 of 71 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (129 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 37 of 239 right-handed batters (15%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .463 (56-for-121) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 0 Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are just 16-32 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Tigers are just 4-43 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are 31-20 (.608) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 45-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Blue Jays are 42-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,638 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,638 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .458 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Blue Jays are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 730 of 9,564 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 330 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.