Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 29, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Blue Jays (55-44) are -375 favorites vs the Tigers (40-60)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (-), ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (11-4), 2.23 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Detroit Tigers (+290) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-375) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 40-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-55 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+2.5 -110O 8.5 -110+290
Blue Jays -2.5 -110U 8.5 -110-375

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 55 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Bo Bichette 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Matt Chapman 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Bo Bichette 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Matt Chapman 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Bo Bichette 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Matt Chapman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 6.5 +115 6.5 -165
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+15.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 68 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 57 games (+23.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -12.83% ROI).

  • 40-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 38-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -20.74% ROI
  • 56-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.8 Units / 13.38% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-55 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -12.94% ROI).

  • 55-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -8.38% ROI
  • 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -11.13% ROI

Bryan Garcia has limited playing time.

Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .216 (232 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (36-for-215) against Alek Manoah this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .162 (67-for-414) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a BABIP of .214 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Tigers are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Tigers are just 10-29 (.256) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Tigers are just 16-33 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are 44-11 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 5-32 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Blue Jays are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .585 (2,651 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,756 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,651 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .276 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Blue Jays are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 260 of 3,683 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 733 of 9,599 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 18 of 329 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.