- The Blue Jays (55-44) are -375 favorites vs the Tigers (40-60)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (-), – ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (11-4), 2.23 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Detroit Tigers (+290) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-375) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 40-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +2.5 -110 | O 8.5 -110 | +290 |
Blue Jays | -2.5 -110 | U 8.5 -110 | -375 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.45 Units / 73% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 55 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Bo Bichette | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Bo Bichette | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Bo Bichette | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
Matt Chapman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alek Manoah | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+15.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 68 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 57 games (+23.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -12.83% ROI).
- 40-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 38-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -20.74% ROI
- 56-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.8 Units / 13.38% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-55 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -12.94% ROI).
- 55-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -11.13% ROI
Bryan Garcia: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Garcia has limited playing time.
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .216 (232 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (36-for-215) against Alek Manoah this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .162 (67-for-414) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a BABIP of .214 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Tigers are just 10-29 (.256) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Tigers are just 16-33 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 44-11 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 5-32 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Blue Jays are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Blue Jays are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .585 (2,651 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,756 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (2,651 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .276 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Blue Jays are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 260 of 3,683 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 733 of 9,599 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 18 of 329 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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