Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 30, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (55-45) are -275 favorites vs the Tigers (41-60)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.83 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Detroit Tigers (+225) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 41-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-56 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+2.5 -120O 9 -105+225
Blue Jays -2.5 +100U 9 -115-275

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Matt Chapman 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Matt Chapman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +120 0.5 -175

Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ross Stripling 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
Drew Hutchison 2.5 -140 2.5 +100
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 away games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 58 games (+24.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-54 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -11.56% ROI).

  • 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -6.64% ROI
  • 38-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -21.45% ROI
  • 57-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 14.13% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -14.12% ROI).

  • 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -10.26% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.14% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -10.11% ROI

Left-handed batters are hitting .300 (12-for-40) against Drew Hutchison this month (4 games) — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 11th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of just .440 (19 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.019 — 98th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (3 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .571 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 85 PAs) this month (4 games) — 12th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.

Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Ross Stripling — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (141 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

Opponents are hitting just .146 (25-for-171) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Tigers are just 17-33 (.340) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Tigers are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Blue Jays are 44-12 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Blue Jays are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Blue Jays are 147-9 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,685 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,797 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (1,797 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .317 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .395 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 264 of 3,724 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 737 of 9,640 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Alek Manoah (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.