- The Blue Jays (55-45) are -275 favorites vs the Tigers (41-60)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.83 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.10 ERA
- Watch the game on SNET
The Detroit Tigers (+225) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 41-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-56 ATS.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +2.5 -120 | O 9 -105 | +225 |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +100 | U 9 -115 | -275 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Raimel Tapia | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 away games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 58 games (+24.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-54 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -11.56% ROI).
- 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 38-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -21.45% ROI
- 57-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 14.13% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -14.12% ROI).
- 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -10.26% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.14% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -10.11% ROI
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .300 (12-for-40) against Drew Hutchison this month (4 games) — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 11th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of just .440 (19 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.019 — 98th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (3 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .571 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 85 PAs) this month (4 games) — 12th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Ross Stripling — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (141 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Opponents are hitting just .146 (25-for-171) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 398.0
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Tigers are just 17-33 (.340) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Tigers are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 5-51 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are 44-12 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Blue Jays are 147-9 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,685 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,797 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (1,797 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .317 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .395 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 264 of 3,724 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 737 of 9,640 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Alek Manoah (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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