Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Atlanta Braves' Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) runs during a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Tuesday, May 2, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
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  • The Tigers are +105 favorites vs the Braves
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The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Tigers are 15-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 19-10 ATS.

Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-1, 2.51 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-1, 2.70 ERA

Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +165O 9 -118+105
Braves +1.5 -200U 9 -102-125

Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 5 games (+24.50 Units / 490% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.40 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+12.25 Units / 153% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+17.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 13-15 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -3.99% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -4.37% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 5.12% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -13.77% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 19-10 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 44.5% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 17.68% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -3.57% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -2.54% ROI

Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +400
Spencer Torkelson +475
Ronald Acuna Jr. +475
Austin Riley +500
Michael Harris II +525

Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Michael Harris II 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Hao-Yu Lee 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Austin Riley 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Tigers are 4-11 (.267) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Tigers are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Tigers are just 5-12 (.294) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Tigers are 26-25 (.510) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Braves are 10-5 (.667) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Braves are 20-9 (.690) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .770.

The Braves are 16-1 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .850.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging .476 at home this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .286 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .760 (836 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .274 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .277 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 23 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (259.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .250 (260 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 173 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.