- The Tigers are +105 favorites vs the Braves
- Tigers vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Braves TV Channel: DSN | BRVN
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on April 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Tigers are 15-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 21-10 ATS.
Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-1, 3.38 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 3-1, 1.95 ERA
Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +170 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Braves | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+22.50 Units / 321% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+18.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.40 Units / 290% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 64% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+22.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 13-17 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -10.13% ROI).
- 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -6.95% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 21-10 against the Run Line (+15.9 Units / 47.75% ROI).
- 22-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 21.77% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -9.72% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 3.56% ROI
Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | +340 |
| Riley Greene | +360 |
| Spencer Torkelson | +425 |
| Austin Riley | +450 |
| Matt Olson | +500 |
Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jace Jung | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Tigers are just 5-14 (.263) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Tigers are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Tigers are just 5-10 (.333) after a loss this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Tigers are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Braves are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Braves are 22-9 (.710) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Braves are 19-2 (.905) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .218 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .803 (792 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .334 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Tigers have allowed 1.71 runs per game (53/31) in late innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .241 (278 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 182 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% over the last 14 days — 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Tigers vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.







