Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
(AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Braves are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Braves Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSDT

The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Tigers are 34-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-38 ATS.

Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 8-2, 2.20 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 4-2, 1.70 ERA

Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -210O 7 +100+105
Braves -1.5 +170U 7 -120-125

Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+20.90 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.70 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+16.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+15.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+10.05 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+1.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 57 games (+21.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.59 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 34-39 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -8.98% ROI).

  • 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -8.99% ROI
  • 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 10.37% ROI
  • 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -19.35% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-38 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -7.06% ROI).

  • 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.51% ROI
  • 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -25.23% ROI
  • 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 17.07% ROI

Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 6.5 -135 6.5 +105
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 5.5 -135 5.5 +100

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (16/77) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (14-for-118) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .164 (383 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .104 (30-for-288) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .172 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .305 (60 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .249 (421 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .301 — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Tigers are just 40-50 (.444) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Tigers are just 25-101 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Braves are 50-51 (.495) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

Tigers pitchers have walked 194 of 2,702 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 670 of 8,775 batters (8%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 301 of 3,521 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.