- The Brewers are + favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Detroit Tigers (+) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Tigers vs Brewers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 9-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-11 ATS.
Tigers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | + + | O + | + |
| Brewers | + + | U + | + |
Tigers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+10.20 Units / 113% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Brewers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Brewers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Joey Wiemer | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Brewers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Rogers | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 6.5 -210 | 6.5 +155 |
| Freddy Peralta | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 7.51% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -21.4% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 13.25% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 7.97% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 18.15% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.67% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 30 of 210 left-handed batters (14%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 62% (254/407) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 15 of 102 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (16-for-103) against Michael Lorenzen’s changeup since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .120 (3 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 94th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 10% (4/42) against Freddy Peralta when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .165 against Freddy Peralta since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 42% (120 SO in 284 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Tigers are 4-1 (.800) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Tigers are just 9-75 (.107) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Tigers are just 73-95 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Brewers are just 0-5 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Brewers are 3-5 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Brewers are 11-61 (.153) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Brewers are 4-2 (.667) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,999 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .330 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .607 (4,999 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (828 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 59 strikeouts in 179 PA’s (33%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters have 31 strikeouts in 88 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters struck out 59 times in 179 PA’s (33%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 147 of 1,625 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Tigers vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
