- The Cardinals are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd, 2.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore, 1.80 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Detroit Tigers (+130) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Saturday, March 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 9-6 ATS.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 11.5 -115 | +130 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 11.5 -105 | -155 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -11.31% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 16.8% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 38.97% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -49.85% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 25% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 11.98% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -41.64% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 34.14% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 30 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.
Matthew Boyd allowed an OPS of just .382 (45 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 15th best among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 94th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (5 Total Bases / 38 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has not allowed a HR in any of his last four games started dating back to June 14th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Matthew Liberatore has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 2nd, 2022 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 250 of 2,866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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