- The Cardinals are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-190) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Tigers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-21 ATS.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +155 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -190 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Cardinals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Turnbull | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 18-13 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 6.12% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 17.9% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -3.7% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 12-21 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -29.79% ROI).
- 10-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -44.48% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -10.78% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.67% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .489 (47 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .334 — first Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OPS of 1.130 (47 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .761 — third Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of just 29% (18 SO in 63 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (24/52) of left-handed hitters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (763/1,304) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (2,492/4,439) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Tigers are just 10-79 (.112) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Tigers are 17-2 (.895) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 5-12 (.294) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Cardinals are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .612 (5,250 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (5,250 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .635 (7,034 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Cardinals are batting .260 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .802 (1,628 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,628 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 152 of 1,705 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 87 of 1,158 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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