- The Cardinals are -200 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 15-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-22 ATS.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -120 | +165 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -105 | U 9.5 +100 | -200 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.45 Units / 59% ROI)
Cardinals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Alex Faedo | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 90% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 19-13 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 8.45% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 22.34% ROI
- 16-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -1.26% ROI
- 15-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -6.6% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 12-22 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -31.47% ROI).
- 10-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.75 Units / -46.62% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -7.8% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.21% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .520 (39 Total Bases / 75 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 0 Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed 5 home runs with two-strikes this season — tied for most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed an OPS of .877 (84 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .528 — first Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed an OBP of .357 (84 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .251 — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Tigers are just 20-47 (.299) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Tigers are 17-2 (.895) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Cardinals are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-20 (.091) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Cardinals are just 5-13 (.278) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (5,292 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .612 (5,292 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .221 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 282 extra-base hits out of 667 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .827 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,637 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 92 of 1,201 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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