• The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
• Tigers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 11 Runs
• Tigers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Tigers are 46-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 44-54 ATS.

Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 4-6, 2.79 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-1, 4.11 ERA

Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.40 Units / 167% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 69% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+7.95 Units / 133% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+13.90 Units / 278% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 47% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 45-49 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -4.78% ROI).

• 46-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -11.81% ROI
• 41-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -16.74% ROI
• 54-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 8.62% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 44-54 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -6.83% ROI).

• 56-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.12% ROI
• 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 1.78% ROI
• 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -9.66% ROI

Cubs vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 37-13 (.740) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Tigers are just 36-9 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Tigers are just 16-24 (.400) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cubs (fifth in runs scored).

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Cubs are 29-2 (.935) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Cubs are 18-5 (.783) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Cubs are 35-20 (.636) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Cubs are 24-10 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Tigers (21st in runs scored).

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Tigers are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have a groundball rate of just 36% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .234 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,092 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .779 (1,092 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .371 (394 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs have scored first in just 27% of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (872.2 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (453.1 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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