Tigers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 21

Chicago Cubs' Nico Hoerner watches his RBI sacrifice fly during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Chicago. Chicago won 6-3. (AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
(AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
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  • The Tigers are +100 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Tigers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on July 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are ATS.

Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 5-6, 4.09 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: David Peterson 4-7, 6.51 ERA

Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +160O 8 -102+100
Cubs +1.5 -210U 8 -118-120

Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.90 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cubs vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Eduardo Valencia +375
Spencer Torkelson +475
Seiya Suzuki +600
Pete Crow-Armstrong +600
Dillon Dingler +625

Cubs vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Eduardo Valencia 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cubs vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Busch 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Eduardo Valencia 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Colt Keith 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Tigers are just 37-9 (.804) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Tigers are just 20-30 (.400) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Tigers are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Cubs are just 6-16 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

The Cubs are 23-1 (.958) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Cubs are 24-11 (.686) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Tigers (22nd in runs scored).

The Cubs are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Tigers have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .222 against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,971 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,102 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs have scored first in just 27% of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 48% of their games at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 98 home runs this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .287 (886 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.