Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (32-39) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (26-43)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Rony García (1-2), 4.97 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (6-4), 3.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 26-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 40-31 ATS.

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 8 +100+140
Diamondbacks -1.5 +120U 8 -120-165

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.10 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 57% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
David Peralta 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Carson Kelly 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
David Peralta 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Carson Kelly 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
David Peralta 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+18.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+2.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -11.88% ROI).

  • 26-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -15.86% ROI
  • 23-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -29.97% ROI
  • 42-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 22.24% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 5.41% ROI).

  • 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.63% ROI
  • 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -15.84% ROI
  • 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 6.7% ROI

Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH this season (100 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH (100 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .355 (11/31) against Rony Garcia on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .166 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (29/100) against Rony Garcia this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .146 (7-for-48) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .216 (8-for-37) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 93rd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .229 (11 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .426 — 96th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (26 Total Bases / 149 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — 93rd Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Tigers are just 9-21 (.300) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Tigers are just 2-32 (.059) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are just 17-22 (.436) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Tigers are just 26-35 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,819 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .327 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .571 (1,063 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .184 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (1,728 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,728 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Clifton Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Senger Peralta (Diamondbacks): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.