- The Diamondbacks (32-39) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (26-43)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Rony García (1-2), 4.97 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (6-4), 3.46 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 26-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 40-31 ATS.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 8 +100 | +140 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -120 | -165 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 75% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 57% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+18.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+2.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -11.88% ROI).
- 26-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -15.86% ROI
- 23-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -29.97% ROI
- 42-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 22.24% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 5.41% ROI).
- 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -15.84% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 6.7% ROI
Rony García: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH this season (100 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 88.7
Rony Garcia has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH (100 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 88.7 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .355 (11/31) against Rony Garcia on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .166 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (29/100) against Rony Garcia this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .146 (7-for-48) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .216 (8-for-37) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 93rd Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .229 (11 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .426 — 96th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (26 Total Bases / 149 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are just 9-21 (.300) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Tigers are just 2-32 (.059) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 17-22 (.436) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Tigers are just 26-35 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,819 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .327 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .571 (1,063 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .184 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (1,728 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,728 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Clifton Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Senger Peralta (Diamondbacks): Back, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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