Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (61-53) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (43-73)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (0-0), 2.34 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 43-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 61-53 ATS.

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -115O 7.5 -115+180
Guardians -1.5 -105U 7.5 -105-225

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Nolan Jones 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Oscar Gonzalez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +135 1.5 -190
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nolan Jones 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Oscar Gonzalez 1.5 +160 1.5 -250

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Nolan Jones 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Oscar Gonzalez 0.5 +100 0.5 -145

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Civale 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
Drew Hutchison 2.5 -105 2.5 -135
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+22.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 95 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 51-65 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -16.05% ROI).

  • 43-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -13.41% ROI
  • 40-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -24.13% ROI
  • 65-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 16.81% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 61-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2% ROI).

  • 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 8.26% ROI
  • 53-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -4.29% ROI
  • 53-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.07% ROI

The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (38 SO in 263 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (2/53) against Drew Hutchison on pitches in the strike zone this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.

Xzavion Curry: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

8 of Aaron Civale’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/120) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (27/84) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (50/267) against Aaron Civale when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Tigers are just 18-40 (.310) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Tigers are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Tigers are just 4-52 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 9-46 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 41-3 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Guardians are 9-43 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .582 (3,118 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .270 (3,118 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,078 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .312 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .499 (386 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Guardians hitters have just 565 strikeouts in 3,216 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 16 of 115 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 119 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 8 of 206 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 22 of 468 batters (5%) this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.