- The Guardians (61-53) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (43-73)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (0-0), 2.34 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 43-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 61-53 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -115 | +180 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -105 | -225 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+22.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 95 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 51-65 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -16.05% ROI).
- 43-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -13.41% ROI
- 40-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -24.13% ROI
- 65-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 16.81% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 61-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2% ROI).
- 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 8.26% ROI
- 53-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -4.29% ROI
- 53-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.07% ROI
Bryan Garcia: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (38 SO in 263 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (2/53) against Drew Hutchison on pitches in the strike zone this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.
Xzavion Curry: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Aaron Civale’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/120) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (27/84) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (50/267) against Aaron Civale when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Tigers are just 18-40 (.310) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Tigers are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 4-52 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 9-46 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 41-3 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Guardians are 9-43 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .582 (3,118 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .270 (3,118 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .265 (2,078 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .312 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .499 (386 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Guardians hitters have just 565 strikeouts in 3,216 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 16 of 115 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 119 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 8 of 206 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 22 of 468 batters (5%) this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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