- The Guardians (62-54) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (44-74)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (2-3), 4.66 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac (2-10), 4.31 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 44-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-54 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -115 | +180 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -105 | -225 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Plesac | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
| Garrett Hill | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 115 games (+22.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 52-66 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -15.93% ROI).
- 44-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -12.6% ROI
- 41-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.85 Units / -23.78% ROI
- 66-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.4% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-54 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.97% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 7.24% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.26% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -4.11% ROI
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Hill has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.
Garrett Hill has walked 5 of 24 left-handed batters (21%) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Garrett Hill has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 31st — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 9.
Garrett Hill has a strike rate of just 59% (108/182) this month (2 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has allowed an OBP of .437 (87 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 61% of the time (301/496) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .368 (28-for-76) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .232 (13-for-56) against Zach Plesac on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 5-52 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 19-41 (.317) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Tigers are just 44-66 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 9-47 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 37-5 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Guardians are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Guardians are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .584 (3,188 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (3,188 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,419 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .517 (393 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 18 of 132 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 95 of 1,031 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 23 of 499 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 126 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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