Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (62-54) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (44-74)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (2-3), 4.66 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac (2-10), 4.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 44-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-54 ATS.

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -115O 8 -115+180
Guardians -1.5 -105U 8 -105-225

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Hedges 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Myles Straw 0.5 +1000 0.5

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +135 1.5 -190
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Austin Hedges 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Myles Straw 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Austin Hedges 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Myles Straw 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Plesac 5.5 +100 5.5 -140
Garrett Hill 2.5 -140 2.5 +100
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 115 games (+22.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 52-66 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -15.93% ROI).

  • 44-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -12.6% ROI
  • 41-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.85 Units / -23.78% ROI
  • 66-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.4% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-54 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.97% ROI).

  • 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 7.24% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.26% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -4.11% ROI

Garrett Hill has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.

Garrett Hill has walked 5 of 24 left-handed batters (21%) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Garrett Hill has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 31st — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 9.

Garrett Hill has a strike rate of just 59% (108/182) this month (2 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.

Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Plesac has allowed an OBP of .437 (87 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.

Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 61% of the time (301/496) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .368 (28-for-76) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .232 (13-for-56) against Zach Plesac on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 5-52 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Tigers are just 19-41 (.317) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Tigers are just 44-66 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 9-47 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 37-5 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Guardians are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Guardians are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .584 (3,188 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .271 (3,188 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,419 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .517 (393 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 18 of 132 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 95 of 1,031 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 23 of 499 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 126 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.