Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (62-55) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (45-74)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Daniel Norris (0-4), 5.97 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (9-5), 3.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 45-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-55 ATS.

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -115O 7.5 -115+180
Guardians -1.5 -105U 7.5 -105-225

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Luke Maile 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Myles Straw 0.5 +1150 0.5

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Luke Maile 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Myles Straw 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Luke Maile 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Myles Straw 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Norris 2.5 -150 2.5 +105
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 116 games (+23.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+7.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 53-66 against the Run Line (-22.55 Units / -15.13% ROI).

  • 45-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -11.02% ROI
  • 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.9 Units / -24.39% ROI
  • 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.4 Units / 17.01% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-55 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.28% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 5.57% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -5.04% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.3% ROI

Daniel Norris has walked 23 of 153 batters (15%) this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Daniel Norris has allowed an OPS of .877 (245 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — second Percentile.

Daniel Norris has walked 53 of 401 batters (13%) since the start of last season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.

Daniel Norris has a strike rate of just 60% (982/1,633) since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (88/577) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/167) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

11 of Cal Quantrill’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 60% (369/610) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 5-52 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Tigers are just 20-41 (.328) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 37-5 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Guardians are 9-48 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .587 (3,224 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,224 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 579 strikeouts in 3,314 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .521 (397 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Guardians hitters have just 808 strikeouts in 4,424 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 96 of 1,040 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,022 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Guardians pitchers have walked 2 of 126 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 12 of 285 batters (4%) over the past seven days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 64 of 1,040 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.