- The Guardians (62-55) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (45-74)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Daniel Norris (0-4), 5.97 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (9-5), 3.66 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 45-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -115 | +180 |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -105 | -225 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Norris | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 116 games (+23.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+7.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 53-66 against the Run Line (-22.55 Units / -15.13% ROI).
- 45-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -11.02% ROI
- 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.9 Units / -24.39% ROI
- 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.4 Units / 17.01% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-55 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.28% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 5.57% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.3% ROI
Daniel Norris: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Norris has walked 23 of 153 batters (15%) this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Daniel Norris has allowed an OPS of .877 (245 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — second Percentile.
Daniel Norris has walked 53 of 401 batters (13%) since the start of last season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.
Daniel Norris has a strike rate of just 60% (982/1,633) since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (88/577) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/167) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
11 of Cal Quantrill’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 60% (369/610) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 5-52 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are just 20-41 (.328) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Tigers are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 37-5 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Guardians are 9-48 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .587 (3,224 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,224 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 579 strikeouts in 3,314 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .521 (397 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Guardians hitters have just 808 strikeouts in 4,424 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 96 of 1,040 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,022 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 2 of 126 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 12 of 285 batters (4%) over the past seven days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 64 of 1,040 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Tigers): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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