- The Guardians are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 55-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 63-60 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 69.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -185 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 away games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.54 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 81 games (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.93 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+7.88 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 63-59 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 55-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 3.13% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -6.91% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 63-60 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.71% ROI).
- 59-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.5 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 48-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -21.86% ROI
- 70-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.8 Units / 13.29% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 3 double plays in 97 opportunities (3%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 170 opportunities (4%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/50) against Matt Manning on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .236 this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee’s has 11 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (48 Total Bases / 185 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has not walked any of the 54 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (10-for-63) against Tanner Bibee’s inside fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 30-44 (.405) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are just 19-115 (.142) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are 22-6 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 28-97 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 19-105 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .351 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (7,860 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (7,860 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .652 (10,423 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,979 strikeouts in 10,771 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 174 of 2,562 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (562.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
The Guardians have allowed 3.74 runs per game (228/61) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (2553.0 IP) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D10
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cameron Gallagher (Guardians): Concussion, D7
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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