Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (44-44) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (37-53)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.07 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac (2-7), 3.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 37-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 46-42 ATS.

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+155
Guardians -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-190

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alex Faedo has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 45% ROI)

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Josh Naylor 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Myles Straw 0.5 +1300 0.5

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Josh Naylor 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Myles Straw 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Josh Naylor 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Myles Straw 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Plesac 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
Drew Hutchison 2.5 -105 2.5 -135
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+21.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 42-48 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -11.32% ROI).

  • 37-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -7.45% ROI
  • 31-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.7 Units / -28.02% ROI
  • 54-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 20.47% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.95% ROI).

  • 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -8.69% ROI
  • 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI

Drew Hutchison has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 99th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Drew Hutchison this month (2 games) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 96th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (4 Total Bases / 23 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 94th Percentile.

Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Plesac has struck out just 11% (20/184) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .340 (18-for-53) against Zach Plesac’s elevated fastball this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .202 (35-for-173) against Zach Plesac with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (40/108) against Zach Plesac in two-strike counts this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 14th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Tigers are just 37-45 (.451) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Tigers are just 10-25 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Tigers are just 15-29 (.341) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Guardians are just 15-41 (.268) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Guardians are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Guardians are just 7-19 (.269) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .592 (2,398 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,576 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .446 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,221 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .613 (901 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .290 (901 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Guardians hitters have just 620 strikeouts in 3,310 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH (2,158 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed 193 barreled balls this season — 3rd most in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.