- The Guardians (44-44) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (37-53)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-4), 4.07 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac (2-7), 3.98 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 37-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 46-42 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Faedo has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 75% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 76% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 45% ROI)
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Plesac | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+21.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 42-48 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -11.32% ROI).
- 37-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -7.45% ROI
- 31-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.7 Units / -28.02% ROI
- 54-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 20.47% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.95% ROI).
- 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.57% ROI
- 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -8.69% ROI
- 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 99th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Drew Hutchison this month (2 games) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 96th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (4 Total Bases / 23 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 94th Percentile.
Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has struck out just 11% (20/184) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .340 (18-for-53) against Zach Plesac’s elevated fastball this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .202 (35-for-173) against Zach Plesac with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (40/108) against Zach Plesac in two-strike counts this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 14th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Tigers are just 37-45 (.451) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Tigers are just 10-25 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Tigers are just 15-29 (.341) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are just 15-41 (.268) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Guardians are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Guardians are just 7-19 (.269) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .592 (2,398 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (1,576 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .446 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,221 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .613 (901 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .290 (901 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Guardians hitters have just 620 strikeouts in 3,310 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH (2,158 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed 193 barreled balls this season — 3rd most in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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