Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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  • The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on June 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-7, 5.29 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-7, 4.11 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -200O 8.5 -110+105
Guardians -1.5 +165U 8.5 -110-125

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+24.00 Units / 267% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+19.20 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kerry Carpenter +350
Jose Ramirez +425
Riley Greene +425
Dillon Dingler +425
Kyle Manzardo +450

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Riley Greene 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Angel Martinez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Travis Bazzana 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 8-34 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Guardians are 19-13 (.594) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Guardians are 46-7 (.852) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .163 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are hitting just .169 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .230 this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have had third base stolen on them 8 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Tigers pitchers this month (9 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.