- The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on June 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-7, 5.29 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-7, 4.11 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+24.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+19.20 Units / 192% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 48% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | +350 |
| Jose Ramirez | +425 |
| Riley Greene | +425 |
| Dillon Dingler | +425 |
| Kyle Manzardo | +450 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kevin McGonigle | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Angel Martinez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Travis Bazzana | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 8-34 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Guardians are 19-13 (.594) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Guardians are 46-7 (.852) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .163 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are hitting just .169 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .230 this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have had third base stolen on them 8 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Tigers pitchers this month (9 games) — highest in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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