Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

Cleveland Guardians' Steven Kwan tosses his bat after walking against the New York Yankees during the first inning in Game 4 of the baseball AL Championship Series Friday, Oct. 18, 2024, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)
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  • The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 29-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 35-36 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-3, 2.27 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-3, 3.31 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +165O 7.5 -120-105
Guardians +1.5 -200U 7.5 +100-115

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in his last 20 away games (+20.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Chase DeLauter has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 30-37 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -11.09% ROI).

  • 29-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -21.84% ROI
  • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -8.09% ROI
  • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.32% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 35-36 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.81% ROI).

  • 39-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 6.02% ROI
  • 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -6.79% ROI
  • 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.32% ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kerry Carpenter +425
Riley Greene +525
Kyle Manzardo +525
Rhys Hoskins +550
Dillon Dingler +550

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Travis Bazzana 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Colt Keith 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
David Fry 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Zach McKinstry 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Tigers are just 11-17 (.393) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (25th in runs scored).

The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.

The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Guardians are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Guardians are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 32-3 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Guardians are batting just .214 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .372 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are hitting just .169 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .251 (188 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have had third base stolen on them 9 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (145.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.