- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Guardians
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 29-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 35-36 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-3, 2.27 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-3, 3.31 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -105 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -115 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in his last 20 away games (+20.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 30-37 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -11.09% ROI).
- 29-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -21.84% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -8.09% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.32% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 35-36 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.81% ROI).
- 39-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 6.02% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -6.79% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.32% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | +425 |
| Riley Greene | +525 |
| Kyle Manzardo | +525 |
| Rhys Hoskins | +550 |
| Dillon Dingler | +550 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Travis Bazzana | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kevin McGonigle | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dillon Dingler | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| David Fry | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Tigers are just 11-17 (.393) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (25th in runs scored).
The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Guardians are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Guardians are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 32-3 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are just 22-11 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .214 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .372 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are hitting just .169 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .251 (188 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for fewest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have had third base stolen on them 9 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (145.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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