- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DSN
The Detroit Tigers (+118) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on September 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 9-8, 3.25 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-0, 3.69 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -110 | +118 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -110 | -145 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Bazzana has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are just 52-12 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are just 57-35 (.620) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
The Guardians are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .228 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .157 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .371 this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .226 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,648 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .228 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Tigers have allowed 2.07 runs per game (288/139) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .242 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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