• The Guardians are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
• Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: DSN | GDTV

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-160) on September 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 8-10, 4.36 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 11-8, 2.48 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 49% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
• Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Parker Messick has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.85 Units / 87% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers are just 57-36 (.613) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 53-18 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are 118-10 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Guardians are 67-123 (.353) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are 64-15 (.800) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 18-12 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .368 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .317 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .372 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .380 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (627.1 IP) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .243 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .307 (5,225 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .269 against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 76 double plays in 1,010 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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